Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.162535 0.187969 0.216043 0.249328 0.287716 0.330606 0.382175
2025-11-23 0.121660 0.155571 0.196846 0.250775 0.319400 0.403855 0.515785
2025-11-30 0.100640 0.138009 0.186689 0.254737 0.347448 0.469456 0.642460
2025-12-07 0.083428 0.121135 0.173060 0.249763 0.360257 0.513845 0.743974
2025-12-14 0.071241 0.108696 0.162817 0.246681 0.373471 0.558257 0.848673
2025-12-21 0.063304 0.100968 0.157782 0.249670 0.394720 0.615256 0.976965
2025-12-28 0.058785 0.097632 0.158575 0.261065 0.429346 0.695256 1.148670
2026-01-04 0.054061 0.093219 0.156926 0.268010 0.457179 0.766957 1.314537
2026-01-11 0.049832 0.089001 0.154931 0.273852 0.483396 0.838189 1.486816
2026-01-18 0.045571 0.084137 0.151172 0.276014 0.503191 0.900145 1.649274
2026-01-25 0.041007 0.078137 0.144680 0.272432 0.512127 0.943676 1.783048
2026-02-01 0.036406 0.071495 0.136243 0.264213 0.511442 0.969456 1.886356
2026-02-08 0.034118 0.069044 0.135386 0.270352 0.538784 1.050393 2.104342
2026-02-15 0.031505 0.065649 0.132369 0.271981 0.557632 1.117329 2.302980
2026-02-22 0.029477 0.063173 0.130828 0.276277 0.582064 1.197315 2.535996
2026-03-01 0.026689 0.058775 0.124917 0.270884 0.585942 1.236332 2.688620
2026-03-08 0.024406 0.055182 0.120254 0.267542 0.593640 1.283720 2.863693
2026-03-15 0.022930 0.053181 0.118733 0.270783 0.615788 1.363573 3.117550
2026-03-22 0.022314 0.053038 0.121216 0.283137 0.659360 1.493883 3.497534
2026-03-29 0.021356 0.051995 0.121572 0.290667 0.692748 1.604950 3.845489
2026-04-05 0.020381 0.050793 0.121431 0.297001 0.723989 1.714189 4.200790
2026-04-12 0.019215 0.048994 0.119701 0.299345 0.745963 1.804125 4.519536
2026-04-19 0.017764 0.046320 0.115605 0.295461 0.752356 1.857844 4.755497